本页内容
在气候变化、快速城市化和技术颠覆等全球紧迫挑战的推动下，亚洲建筑业将在 2025 年迎来转型、增长和变革。在这个气候行动的关键十年，各国都在大力投资以实现可持续发展，而建筑业也在重新调整，以满足不断变化的需求，并实现有意义的变革。
可持续性是亚洲的指路明灯
我们的建筑环境是造成废气排放的重要因素，并将在未来几年经历一场可持续发展的变革。亚洲是世界上一些钢铁、水泥和化工行业温室气体排放量最大的国家的所在地，该地区正在将重点转向实现碳净零排放。整个地区更加关注净零碳目标，这将推动在城市规划、交通、建筑和场所、能源系统等方面采用更环保的基础设施。“东盟催化绿色融资机制”等国家和地区倡议为能源、水、交通和城市部门的环保型和社会包容性基础设施项目提供资金和技术援助，以降低项目风险。
随着这种方法成为规范，可持续设计将不可避免地成为发展的基石，采用创新的解决方案，优先考虑能源效率、可再生能源一体化和资源保护。绿色材料和低影响施工方法的使用将成为标准，从而塑造出一个谨慎地平衡增长与环境责任的未来。在全球范围内，"水泥零排放"（The Cement 2 Zero）是英国的一个示范项目，由材料加工研究所牵头，剑桥大学支持，并与阿特金斯-雷利斯公司（AtkinsRéalis）和供应链中的其他主要参与者合作，该项目将帮助剑桥电气水泥公司（CEC）生产出 20 吨世界上第一批工业规模的零排放水泥。
在亚洲，各国都在努力鼓励和推广在建筑实践中使用绿色材料，为未来新建筑和基础设施的去碳化铺平道路——从新加坡的绿色建筑总体规划政策框架（旨在到2030年实现全国80%的建筑绿色化），到中国实施绿色建筑评价标准以评定建筑的可持续性能。
数字技术的整合
技术发展，尤其是数字化解决方案，正在为建设更加智能、更加互联的城市铺平道路。2024 年，建筑和工程公司一直在积极探索将人工智能嵌入到建筑、空间和基础设施的运营和工作流程中的潜力。
2025 年，重点可能将转向加强涵盖整个项目生命周期的端到端综合解决方案。例如，亚洲将在建筑设备远程信息处理方面处于领先地位（可提高运营效率、实现实时监控和资产管理的集成系统）方面。数字双胞胎（虚拟模型）和先进的数据分析技术也将在重塑项目规划和维护方面发挥关键作用，从而以更高效、更具预测性的方法来开发和管理基础设施。同时，新的开源工具可以帮助确定建筑和基础设施项目的脱碳战略。
对于建筑行业来说，一个尤为紧迫的问题是持续存在的技术人才缺口。预计香港建筑业将面临劳动力短缺的问题。同时，根据日本政府的劳动力调查，日本的建筑劳动力在过去十年中缩减了 20%。随着先进技术有望改变该行业，公司可能会寻求从科技行业等领域挖掘其他人才，以弥补人才缺口并整合数字化解决方案。去年在印度，阿特金斯瑞尔全球技术中心邀请了来自公司全球各部门的30 名碳专家，作为其全球碳学院计划的一部分，对其进行培训并培养下一代未来人才。
城市化进程加剧，工程技术向长期抗灾能力的发展
亚洲正在以前所未有的速度城市化——目前已有 20 多亿人生活在城市中，到 2050 年，这一数字将飙升至 33 亿。随着城市化进程的加快，建筑环境和工程方法也在不断演变，这主要是受到长期抗灾能力和宜居城市空间这一新的优先事项的影响。
为满足这一需求，模块化和非现场施工方法正逐渐成为行业标准，可提高效率和成本效益，并减少对环境的影响。仅在亚太地区，2023 年模块化建筑市场价值为 387.2 亿美元，预计到 2029 年将达到 580.7 亿美元，年复合增长率为 6.83%。更广泛地说，城市空间正被重新规划为充满活力的多功能环境，将住宅 、商业和娱乐功能完美融合，以满足多样化和不断变化的人口需求。这已经初见成效，在新加坡，多功能综合体开发项目的中位数单价增长要强于纯住宅开发项目。
气候友好型功能是这一演变的核心，尤其是如果我们要实现国际能源机构提出的目标，即到 2030 年可再生能源占建筑能耗 18% 的等重要目标。建筑公司正越来越多地探索创新解决方案，如绿色基础设施和可再生能源集成，以确保新空间的可持续发展和未来就绪。
实现长期可持续发展的综合性方法
新技术和新期望正在重塑我们每天所经历的基础设施，以及建筑和基础设施的内部运作，使平衡效率、适应性和环境责任变得更加迫切。这些趋势相互关联，凸显了跨部门和跨业务合作的必要性，以有效满足不断变化的需求，并弥补战略差距。
2025 年，建筑环境将在塑造更具复原力和可持续性的未来方面发挥关键作用，尤其是因为这一年将成为气候行动十年的关键拐点。面对日益严峻的环境挑战，建筑业正在通过将抗灾能力和可持续发展作为其运营的核心来满足新的需求。
本文首发于《香港经济日报》。
Please note that you are now leaving the AtkinsRéalis website (legal name: SNC-Lavalin Group Inc.) and entering a website maintained by a third party (the "External Website") and that you do so at your own risk.
AtkinsRéalis has no control over the External Website, any data or other content contained therein or any additional linked websites. The link to the External Website is provided for convenience purposes only. By clicking "Accept" you acknowledge and agree that AtkinsRéalis is not responsible, and does not accept or assume any responsibility or liability whatsoever for the data protection policy, the content, the data or the technical operation of the External Website and/or any linked websites and that AtkinsRéalis is not liable for the terms and conditions (or terms of use) of the External Website. Further, you acknowledge and agree that you assume all risks resulting from entering and/or using the External Website and/or any linked websites.
BY ENTERING THE EXTERNAL WEBSITE, YOU ALSO ACKNOWLEDGE AND AGREE THAT YOU COMPLETELY AND IRREVOCABLY WAIVE ANY AND ALL RIGHTS AND CLAIMS AGAINST ATKINSRÉALIS, AND RELEASE, DISCHARGE, INDEMNIFY AND HOLD HARMLESS ATKINSRÉALIS, ITS OFFICERS, EMPLOYEES, DIRECTORS AND AGENTS FROM ANY AND ALL LIABILITY INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO LIABILITY FOR LOSS, DAMAGES, EXPENSES AND COSTS ARISING OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH ENTERING AND/OR USING THE EXTERNAL WEBSITE AND/OR ANY LINKED WEBSITES AND ANY DATA AND/OR CONTENT CONTAINED THEREIN.
Such waiver and release specifically includes, without limitation, any and all rights and claims pertaining to reliance on the data or content of the External Website, or claims pertaining to the processing of personal data, including but not limited to any rights under any applicable data protection statute. You also recognize by clicking “Accept” that the terms of this disclaimer are reasonable.
The information provided by Virtua Research cited herein is provided “as is” and “as available” without warranty of any kind. Use of any Virtua Research data is at a user’s own risk and Virtua Research disclaims any liability for use of the Virtua Research data. Although the information is obtained or compiled from reliable sources Virtua Research neither can nor does guarantee or make any representation or warranty, either express or implied, as to the accuracy, validity, sequence, timeliness, completeness or continued availability of any information or data, including third-party content, made available herein. In no event shall Virtua Research be liable for any decision made or action or inaction taken in reliance on any information or data, including third-party content. Virtua Research further explicitly disclaims, to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, any warranty of any kind, whether express or implied, including warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement.
The consensus estimate provided by Virtua Research is based on estimates, forecasts and predictions made by third party financial analysts, as described above. It is not prepared based on information provided by AtkinsRéalis and can only be seen as a consensus view on AtkinsRéalis' possible future results from an outside perspective. AtkinsRéalis has not provided input on these forecasts, except by referring to past publicly disclosed information. AtkinsRéalis does not accept any responsibility for the quality or accuracy of any individual or average of forecasts or estimates. This web page contains forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by third parties. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between AtkinsRéalis' actual future results, financial situation, development or performance, and the estimates given here.